Revisiting our roster predictions and comparing with the actual opening day roster
Here’s what my opening day roster predictions were for the Bluefield Blue Jays (with notes on where I went wrong and where the player actually ended up):
C: Ridge Smith — Lansing
1B: Yorman Rodriguez
2B: Javier Monzon — Released. Surprising since Monzon had a .837 OPS between GCL and Bluefield last year.
3B: Sterling Guzman
SS: Bo Bichette — Lansing. Yup, this looks bad now. I was thinking he’d get a conservative promotion to Rk since he’s still a teenager instead he jumped 3 levels up to A ball. Obviously, it has turned out to be a great decision
LF: Norberto Obeso — Vancouver
CF Reggie Pruitt — Vancouver
RF Nick Sinay — Lansing
DH Levi Scott — Released
C Matt Morgan — Vancouver
INF Kevin Vicuna — Vancouver
OF Kalik May — Released
SP Wilfri Aleton — Vancouver
SP Yennsy Diaz — Lansing
SP Jose Espada — Vancouver
SP Osman Gutierrez — Lansing
SP Dany Jimenez — Vancouver
SP Juliandry Higuera — Vancouver
RP Jared Carkuff — Lansing
RP Brayden Bouchey — Vancouver
RP Grayson Huffman —Vancouver
RP Gabe Noyalis — Released
RP Angel Alicea — Unassigned. Surprising. Could be injured?
RP Jairo Rosario — Released
RP Chris Hall — Vancouver
RP Jose Nova
RP Stuart Holmes — Released
RP Kelyn Jose
RP Kyle Weatherly — Vancouver
That adds up to a 9/30 score which a big improvement on my Vancouver predictions. I had anticipated Bluefield to be far tougher and termed it a list of possibilities rather than predictions.
The usual caveats apply again to the results: Injuries and players being released. Eight players on my list were released or are unassigned. Organizationally, there are more than 30 players on the DL.
There was an additional wrinkle with Bluefield: incoming prospects from the 2017 MLB draft. Eleven players on Bluefield opening day roster were fresh draftees.
Subtracting the draftees and the releasees results in a much more pleasing score of 9/12. (I can do that right?)
Here’s who was actually on the opening day roster for the Bluefield Blue Jays (and, for my mistakes, where I thought those players would appear):
1B Ryan Noda — 15th round selection
2B Jesus Navarro — Unassigned
SS Jesus Severino (actually appeared on both Vancouver and Bluefield’s opening day rosters)
LF Tanner Kirwer — 20th round
CF Mc Gregory Contreras — Unassigned
RF Antony Fuentes
DH/C Yorman Rodriguez
OF Brandon Polizzi — 35th round
SS Kevin Smith — 4th round
C Reilly Johnson — 30th round
SP Maximo Castillo — Unassigned
SP Josh Winckowski — Unassigned
SP Alvaro Galindo — Unassigned
SP Elio Silva — Unassigned
SP Tyler Olander — Unassigned
SP Joel Espinal — Unassigned
RP Randy Pondler
RP Jose Nova
RP Mitch McKown — Unassigned
RP Kelyn Jose
RP Yonardo Herdenez — Unassigned
RP Ty Tice — 16th round
RP Graham Spraker — 31st round
RP Zach Logue — 9th round
RP Colton Laws — 7th round
RP Joe DiBenedetto — 29th round
RP Jordan Barrett — 18th round
Well, that’s it for this series of roster prediction retrospectives. It was a interesting exercise but next year, I’ll just do lists of possibilities for levels below AA.
Players to watch on Bluefield include top 15 picks Laws, Logue, Smith, Noda and returning organizational players like Gold, Rodriguez, Severino, Olander.
The Bluefield Jays lost their first game of the season last night 13-6.